Bitcoin price on July 14?

What you need to know

This market asks a simple question: where will Bitcoin's price land on July 14, 2026 — specifically, will it be in the $60,000–$62,000 range, the $62,000–$64,000 range, or the $64,000–$66,000 range? Each bracket is its own Yes or No outcome. Right now, the market collectively puts the highest chance — about 48% — on Bitcoin sitting between $62,000 and $64,000 at noon that day, with the two neighboring ranges getting the remaining probability. Settlement is determined by one very specific data point: the closing price of the one-minute BTC/USDT trading candle on Binance at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 14, 2026. Only Binance's price counts — not Coinbase, not Kraken, not any other exchange. If Bitcoin lands exactly on a boundary between two brackets, the higher bracket wins. If Binance is unavailable or the data can't be read, the market resolves No by default, which is an important edge case worth knowing. The most relevant news right now involves rising tensions between the US and Iran, including reports of strikes near the Strait of Hormuz, which sent oil prices surging about 4%. Geopolitical shocks like this can ripple into crypto markets — sometimes pushing Bitcoin up as a risk asset, sometimes pulling it down alongside broader market sell-offs. The other headlines (DRAM prices, cane pricing) don't appear directly connected to Bitcoin's trajectory. Bitcoin is one of the hardest assets to predict even a day out — over a year, the range of possible outcomes is enormous. The current brackets cover $60,000–$66,000, but Bitcoin could easily trade far above or below that window by July 2026. The fresh geopolitical tension around Iran adds another unpredictable variable. Crypto markets are also sensitive to regulation, macroeconomic shifts, and sudden sentiment swings. The market has assigned its best guess across three brackets, but a year is a very long time in crypto.

The odds right now

• 62,000-64,00051%
• 60,000-62,00026%
• 64,000-66,00019%
• 58,000-60,0004%
• 66,000-68,0002%
• 56,000-58,0001%
• 68,000-70,0000%
• 70,000-72,0000%
• 54,000-56,0000%
• <54,0000%
• >72,0000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 14, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

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