Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 7 - July 14, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how many times will Donald Trump post on Truth Social during one specific week in 2026? A 'Yes' for the leading bracket (140–159) means he posts somewhere between 140 and 159 times in that seven-day window — roughly 20 posts a day. The other brackets represent lower or higher volumes. This isn't about what he says, just how often he posts. At the end of the window — noon ET on July 14, 2026 — an automated tracker counts every main-feed post, repost, and quote post Trump made since noon ET on July 7. That total number determines which bracket wins. Replies don't count, unless they appear on his main feed. Importantly, deleted posts still count if the tracker captured them within about five minutes of posting. The tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com is the primary source. The only recent news provided is about Zelensky seeking European air defence support — that has no direct connection to Trump's Truth Social posting volume. There's no relevant news here to point to. What would actually matter to watch: any major political events, announcements, or controversies that historically cause Trump's posting frequency to spike or go quiet. Trump's posting habits are genuinely hard to predict week to week. His volume can swing dramatically depending on news cycles, political developments, foreign policy moments, or simply his schedule. A busy travel week might mean fewer posts; a political controversy might trigger a surge. The market leans toward 140–159 at 58%, but the 160+ and 120–139 brackets each hold meaningful probability, reflecting real uncertainty about whether any given week will be unusually active or quiet.

The odds right now

• 140-159+54.5 pts (1w)70%
• 160-179+0.4 pts (1w)14%
• 120-139-17.5 pts (1w)5%
• 180-199-1.4 pts (1w)5%
• 200+-6.9 pts (1w)1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 14, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 7, 12:00 PM ET and July 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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