Ethereum above ___ on July 20?: how this market works

What you need to know

These are three separate yes/no questions about where the price of Ethereum (ETH) will sit at one specific moment: noon Eastern Time on July 20, 2026. Each question picks a different price level, $1,800, $1,900, or $2,000, and asks simply: will ETH be above that number at that exact time? A Yes means ETH cleared the threshold; a No means it did not. The market currently prices those three levels very differently, reflecting how much harder each higher bar is to clear. Settlement is decided by one single data point: the closing price of the ETH/USDT one-minute candle at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 20, 2026, as recorded on the Binance exchange. If that closing price is strictly higher than the threshold (for example, $1,800.01 counts, but $1,800.00 does not), it resolves Yes. If Ethereum is at or below the threshold at that moment, it resolves No. Only Binance ETH/USDT counts here, not Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange or trading pair. The only nearby news provided is about SSV Network, a different crypto project, briefly hitting $2.00. That has no direct connection to Ethereum's price. There is no relevant recent news provided for this market. The kind of development worth watching would be major Ethereum network upgrades, broad crypto market moves, or significant regulatory news that could shift ETH's price leading into July 20. Crypto prices can move sharply in short periods, so even a market priced at 92% carries real risk. The $1,800 threshold is priced with high confidence by the market, suggesting ETH is currently trading well above it, but a sudden broad market selloff could change that quickly. The $1,900 level at 28% and $2,000 at 1% reflect how much harder each extra hundred dollars is to guarantee. The single-minute snapshot rule adds a small extra wrinkle: a brief price spike or dip right at noon could matter.

The odds right now

• 1,300100%
• 1,400100%
• 1,500100%
• 1,600100%
• 1,700100%
• 1,80097%
• 1,90030%
• 2,0001%
• 2,1000%
• 2,2000%
• 2,3000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 20, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.