What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?

What you need to know

This market is asking where the price of gold will land by the end of June 2026 — specifically, which price range it falls into. There are three possible buckets: below $3,800 per troy ounce, between $3,800 and $4,200, or between $4,200 and $4,600. Right now, the market sees roughly equal chances for the two middle and upper ranges, with a small chance gold drops below $3,800. In plain terms: is gold going to stay around current levels, climb higher, or fall back? This settles based on one specific number: the official closing settlement price that CME Group publishes for gold futures on the last trading day of June 2026. CME is the main exchange where gold futures trade in the US, and their daily settlement price is a precise, official figure — not the last trade price, not a midday reading. One important edge case: if a price lands exactly on a boundary between two brackets (say, exactly $4,200), it counts as the higher bracket. If the last trading day is shortened due to a holiday, the settlement from that short session still counts. One relevant headline stands out: a report from June 14, 2026 says gold surged following signals of progress toward a US-Iran truce. Geopolitical tension often pushes investors toward gold as a safe asset, so diplomatic developments — in either direction — can move gold prices quickly. The other headlines provided don't relate meaningfully to gold prices. Worth watching: any major shifts in US foreign policy, inflation data, or central bank decisions between now and June 30 could all move the needle. The two leading brackets are almost tied — 46% vs 45% — which tells you the market genuinely doesn't know whether gold stays in its current range or climbs further. Gold prices are sensitive to things that are hard to forecast: geopolitical flare-ups, Federal Reserve interest rate signals, and sudden shifts in investor fear. A $400-wide bracket sounds like a lot of room, but gold can move fast. With about two weeks left until resolution, a single major news event could push the price from one bracket into another.

The odds right now

• $4,200-$4,600+0.6 pts (1w)48%
• $3,800-$4,200+17.2 pts (1w)44%
• <$3,800+1.8 pts (1w)6%
• $4,600-$5,000-5.0 pts (1w)6%
• $5,000-$5,400-3.3 pts (1w)1%
• $5,400-$5,800-0.9 pts (1w)1%
• >$6,200-0.4 pts (1w)0%
• $5,800-$6,200-0.4 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 30, 2026

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June. For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

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