Highest temperature in Ankara on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest reading of the day be in Ankara on July 13, 2026? Specifically, it uses the weather station at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport as the measuring point. The three options — 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C — are the possible peak temperatures, and you're choosing which single-degree bucket the thermometer tops out in that day. Think of it as guessing the afternoon high on a summer day in Turkey's capital. After July 13, 2026 ends, whoever runs this market checks the Weather Underground website for the Esenboğa Airport station and reads the single highest temperature logged that day, rounded to a whole degree Celsius. Whichever option — 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C — contains that number wins. One small but important detail: the market waits until the first data point of July 14 appears before settling, to make sure the full day's readings are captured. The two news items provided are unrelated to Ankara's weather — one is a crime story, the other a political story from India. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter is any extended weather forecast for Ankara around July 13, or data on historical temperatures at that station during mid-July. Weather forecasting is genuinely hard even days out, let alone a year in advance. The market currently leans toward 32°C with about 70% confidence, but a single hotter-than-usual afternoon or an unexpected weather system could shift the peak by a degree or two. Mid-July in Ankara is reliably hot, but exact daily highs vary. The airport station's readings can also differ slightly from city-center temperatures, so the specific measurement location adds a small extra layer of unpredictability.

The odds right now

• 32°C54%
• 33°C43%
• 34°C1%
• 28°C or below0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C0%
• 38°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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