Highest temperature in Ankara on June 12?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Ankara get on June 12, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at the city's main airport weather station. The three options — 27°C, 28°C, or 29°C — are like three buckets, and whichever one contains the day's peak temperature wins. In practical terms, 29°C is roughly 84°F, 28°C is about 82°F, and 27°C is around 81°F — a fairly narrow range of warm early-summer heat. The market settles — meaning it gets a final Yes or No answer — based on the highest temperature logged on June 12, 2026, at Ankara's Esenboğa Airport weather station, as reported by Weather Underground. Whichever of the three temperature options matches that recorded peak wins. The reading is rounded to a whole degree Celsius, so 28.7°C would count as 28°C, not 29°C. The result is locked in once the first data point from June 13 appears on the site, after which any late corrections to the June 12 data are ignored. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. That's pretty normal for a weather question this far in advance — the kind of information that would matter here is closer-range forecasts and seasonal climate outlooks for Ankara in early June, which become meaningful only in the days leading up to June 12, 2026. Weather a year out is genuinely hard to predict with precision — even professional forecasts lose reliability beyond about two weeks. The three options span just a two-degree range, which is a very tight window. Historical averages for Ankara in mid-June can inform the odds, but any given day can deviate due to a passing heat wave, an unusual cold front, or local atmospheric quirks. The market currently splits most probability between 28°C and 29°C, but a one-degree shift — well within normal daily variability — changes everything.

The odds right now

• 29°C100%
• 30°C0%
• 24°C or below0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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