Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 15, 2026, what will the hottest reading of the day be at Atlanta's main airport? The options are temperature bands — 84–85°F, 86–87°F, or 88–89°F — and whichever band contains that day's peak temperature wins. Think of it like guessing the afternoon high on a summer day in Atlanta: hot, but the question is exactly how hot. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport on July 15, 2026, pulled from Weather Underground's historical data for that station. The reading is in whole-degree Fahrenheit — no decimals. It won't officially close until the first data point for July 16 appears on that site, giving time for any last-minute corrections to July 15's readings to be captured before the result is locked in. No recent news was provided that relates to this market. The kind of thing that would matter closer to the date: forecasts from the National Weather Service for Atlanta in mid-July 2026, or any unusual weather pattern — like a heat dome or a strong cold front — approaching the Southeast around that time. Mid-July in Atlanta is reliably hot, which is why the market clusters around 86–89°F — that range covers about 74% of the probability. The real uncertainty is that daily highs still vary meaningfully based on cloud cover, humidity, passing storms, or shifting wind patterns, all of which are essentially unpredictable more than a few days out. With over a year until the date, no forecast exists yet, so the odds reflect historical patterns rather than any specific knowledge about that particular day.

The odds right now

• 86-87°F41%
• 88-89°F35%
• 84-85°F14%
• 90-91°F8%
• 80-81°F1%
• 82-83°F1%
• 92-93°F1%
• 79°F or below0%
• 94-95°F0%
• 96-97°F0%
• 98°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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