Highest temperature in Austin on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple weather question: how hot will Austin get on July 13, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of the day at Austin's main airport — and which 2-degree band that peak falls into. A 'Yes' for the 92–93°F range, for example, means the hottest moment of that day lands somewhere in those two degrees, not higher, not lower. The market settles based on the highest temperature recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on July 13, 2026, pulled from Weather Underground's historical data for that station. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Fahrenheit. Whichever 2-degree range contains that number wins. The data is locked in once the first reading from July 14 appears — any earlier corrections before that cutoff count, but revisions after do not. No recent news was provided that's relevant to this market. That's completely normal for a weather question more than a year away — no forecast exists yet for a specific date that far out. What will matter closer to the date is Austin's general summer weather pattern and any short-range forecasts in the days leading up to July 13, 2026. July in Austin is reliably hot, which is why the market clusters around 90–95°F — that range matches the city's typical summer peaks. But predicting the exact 2-degree band a year in advance is genuinely hard. A passing storm system, an unusually hot or cool air mass, or even cloud cover on that specific day can shift the peak by several degrees. The spread across three closely-priced ranges reflects that real uncertainty — Austin summers are consistent, but not that consistent.

The odds right now

• 92-93°F43%
• 90-91°F27%
• 94-95°F25%
• 88-89°F8%
• 86-87°F3%
• 96-97°F1%
• 84-85°F1%
• 98°F or higher0%
• 79°F or below0%
• 80-81°F0%
• 82-83°F0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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