Highest temperature in Beijing on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 13, 2026, how hot will Beijing get at its peak? Specifically, it's asking which temperature bucket — 34°C, 35°C, or 36°C (roughly 93°F, 95°F, or 97°F) — will match the single highest temperature recorded that day at Beijing Capital International Airport. Think of it as picking the top number on a thermometer for one summer afternoon in Beijing. The market settles based on the highest temperature logged at Beijing Capital International Airport on July 13, 2026, as reported by the weather site Weather Underground. It uses whole numbers only — so a reading of 34.7°C would count as 34°C. The data is locked in once the first reading from July 14 appears on that site, after which no corrections count. Whoever's temperature bucket matches that peak number wins. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of thing worth watching closer to the date would be seasonal weather forecasts for Beijing in mid-July, or any meteorological outlooks for unusual heat patterns in northern China that summer. July in Beijing is reliably hot, but the exact daily peak is genuinely hard to pin down a year in advance — even professional forecasters struggle beyond a week or two. The market currently splits fairly evenly between 34°C and 35°C, reflecting real uncertainty across a narrow range. A single unusual weather system, cloud cover, or wind shift on that one day could easily push the temperature into a different bucket. The tight spread between options means small atmospheric changes decide the outcome.

The odds right now

• 34°C41%
• 35°C40%
• 33°C13%
• 36°C5%
• 37°C2%
• 38°C or higher0%
• 28°C or below0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. The exchange's settlement fee applies everywhere and is shown before you confirm any trade. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.