Highest temperature in Beijing on June 16?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Beijing get on June 16, 2026? Specifically, it's asking you to pick the peak daytime temperature — the single highest reading of the whole day — measured at Beijing Capital International Airport. The leading options are 27°C (about 81°F), 28°C (about 82°F), and 26°C (about 79°F), which are all fairly warm early-summer days, not extreme heat. It settles the day after — once the first weather reading for June 17 appears on Weather Underground's records for Beijing Capital International Airport (station code ZBAA). Whatever whole-number Celsius peak temperature that site shows for June 16 is the answer. Temperatures are rounded to the nearest whole degree, so 27.6°C would count as 28°C. Any corrections the site makes before June 17's first data point are counted; corrections after that cutoff are ignored. None of the provided news headlines relate to Beijing weather or climate conditions. There's nothing here to point to. What would genuinely matter is a medium-range weather forecast for Beijing around June 16 — those typically become reliable about a week out — or any reports of an unusual heat pattern or cold front moving through northern China in that window. Weather is genuinely hard to pin to a single degree a year in advance. The market's three leading options — 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C — are separated by just one degree each, which is well within normal day-to-day variation. Mid-June in Beijing averages highs in the high 20s to low 30s, so the range is plausible, but a passing cloud system or an early heat wave could easily shift the reading a degree or two in either direction. No forecast this far out can meaningfully distinguish between these options.

The odds right now

• 27°C31%
• 28°C28%
• 26°C18%
• 29°C14%
• 25°C9%
• 24°C5%
• 30°C4%
• 23°C1%
• 31°C or higher1%
• 22°C0%
• 21°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 16, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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