Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 14, 2026, what will the afternoon high temperature be in Buenos Aires? July is winter in Argentina, so we're talking about cool, mild weather — not summer heat. The three options (15°C, 16°C, 17°C) are roughly 59°F, 61°F, and 63°F. The question is essentially: will that winter day be a little cooler, average, or a touch warmer than usual? The market currently leans toward 16°C as the most likely outcome. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Ezeiza Airport — Buenos Aires's main international airport — on July 14, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whatever the peak reading is that day, rounded to a whole number in Celsius, determines which option wins. The data is locked in once the first reading of July 15 appears on the site. Any late corrections to July 14's data before that cutoff count; after that, they don't. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. That's normal this far out — weather markets like this one are driven by forecasts and historical patterns, not current events. The thing to watch closer to the date would be any extended weather forecast for Buenos Aires in mid-July, particularly whether a cold front or unusually warm air mass is expected. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and this market resolves over a year from now. The three leading options span just a 3°C range, which is a very narrow window — a single cold front or sunny day can easily shift the high by that much. Historical July averages for Buenos Aires cluster in this range, which is why the odds are spread fairly evenly across the three choices. The real uncertainty is simply that no forecast tool is reliable at this distance.

The odds right now

• 16°C46%
• 15°C25%
• 17°C20%
• 14°C6%
• 18°C4%
• 13°C1%
• 19°C1%
• 12°C1%
• 20°C0%
• 11°C or below0%
• 21°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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