Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 19?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 19, 2026, what will the warmest temperature of the day be in Buenos Aires? July is mid-winter in Argentina, so we're talking about cold, mild winter weather — not summer heat. The three options are 13°C, 14°C, or 15°C (roughly 55–59°F). You're essentially picking which of those cool winter temperatures the city peaks at on that specific day. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at Ezeiza International Airport (Buenos Aires's main airport weather station) on July 19, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground. The temperature is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. The market can only close after the first reading from July 20 appears on that site — so it waits for the day to fully end before locking in. Last-minute data corrections are accepted until that first next-day reading is posted. There is no relevant recent news provided for this market. The headline included is about an education policy story in India and has nothing to do with Buenos Aires weather. The kind of development that would matter here is a weather forecast for Buenos Aires in mid-July — particularly any cold front, clear-sky pattern, or unusual warmth moving through Argentina around that date. Daily high temperatures are genuinely hard to pin down a year in advance — weather forecasting is only reliable a few days out. Even on the actual day, a passing cloud or a shift in wind can move the peak temperature by a degree or two. Since the three options (13°C, 14°C, 15°C) are all just one degree apart, a very small change in conditions could completely change the outcome. The market currently spreads across all three options fairly evenly, reflecting that real uncertainty.

The odds right now

• 13°C50%
• 14°C24%
• 12°C19%
• 15°C9%
• 16°C2%
• 17°C0%
• 11°C0%
• 18°C0%
• 9°C or below0%
• 10°C0%
• 19°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 19, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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