Highest temperature in Busan on July 13?

What you need to know

This market asks: on July 13, 2026, what will the single hottest temperature of the day be at Gimhae International Airport, near Busan, South Korea? The three options are 31°C (about 88°F), 32°C (about 90°F), or 33°C (about 91°F). A 'Yes' on 31°C means the peak temperature that day lands somewhere in the 31-degree range — not 32, not 33. Think of it as picking the correct slot on a thermometer for one specific afternoon. The market settles based on the highest single temperature reading recorded at Gimhae Airport Station on July 13, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground's historical data page for that station. The reading is rounded to a whole number in Celsius — no decimals. The result is locked in once the first data point for July 14 appears on that page. Any corrections published before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. The two news items provided are about education policy in India and have no connection to weather in Busan. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter is any updated seasonal forecast for South Korea in mid-July, or a weather pattern shifting in the days before July 13. July in Busan is reliably hot and humid, which is why the market is heavily one-sided — it prices 31°C at 87%. The main uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected pushes the peak a degree higher or lower: an approaching typhoon, unusual cloud cover, or a sea breeze from the Korea Strait can all shift a single day's high by a degree or two. A year out, no forecast can pin down one day's peak temperature with confidence, so some genuine spread remains.

The odds right now

• 31°C100%
• 32°C0%
• 26°C or below0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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