Highest temperature in Busan on July 16?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 16, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Busan, South Korea? The answer is measured at Gimhae International Airport, which sits just outside the city. The market gives you a few temperature options to choose from — 32°C, 33°C, or 34°C (roughly 90°F, 91°F, and 93°F) — and you're picking which single degree the peak temperature will land on that day. After July 16, 2026 ends, the market checks Weather Underground's records for Gimhae Airport (station code RKPK) and reads the single highest temperature logged that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whatever bucket that number falls into — 32, 33, or 34 — wins. One important detail: the market waits until the first data point of July 17 appears before it officially settles, so late-day temperature corrections can still count. After that cutoff, no further revisions matter. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. Since the event is over a year away, that's not surprising — weather forecasts this far out don't exist yet. What will eventually matter is the short-range forecast for Busan in mid-July 2026, and any unusual heat patterns in the region as that date approaches. Weather is genuinely hard to predict even a week out, let alone a year. Mid-July in Busan is typically hot and humid — the city is in its rainy monsoon season around that time — but actual daily highs vary quite a bit year to year. The market spreads its odds fairly evenly across 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C, reflecting real uncertainty. A passing rain system could keep the peak low; a clear, humid day could push it higher. There's no forecast yet that can resolve this.

The odds right now

• 33°C32%
• 34°C30%
• 32°C16%
• 35°C12%
• 31°C3%
• 36°C2%
• 30°C1%
• 29°C or below1%
• 37°C0%
• 38°C0%
• 39°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 16, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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