Highest temperature in Busan on June 11?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest moment of the day be in Busan, South Korea on June 11, 2026? Specifically, it's measured at Gimhae International Airport, which sits on the edge of the city. The three options are 28°C, 29°C, or 30°C — that's roughly 82°F, 84°F, or 86°F. Think of it as guessing whether that day will be a warm early-summer afternoon, a noticeably hot one, or just pleasantly mild. The market settles on whichever temperature bucket contains the single highest reading recorded at Gimhae Airport on June 11, 2026, pulled from Weather Underground's historical data page for that station. The reading is rounded to a whole number in Celsius — no decimals. It can only officially close after the first data point from June 12 appears on that page, locking in the final reading. Any small corrections to the data are accepted right up until that cutoff, then ignored afterward. There's no recent news provided that's relevant to this market. For a weather question like this, what would matter most is seasonal climate data for Busan in early June — historical averages, any unusual pressure systems, or long-range forecasts as the date approaches. Those patterns are what typically inform expectations about a single day's high temperature more than a year out. Predicting a specific temperature more than a year in advance is genuinely very hard — weather forecasting is only reliable about 10 days out. The market heavily favors 29°C at 92%, which aligns with typical early-June highs in Busan, but a single degree in either direction is well within normal day-to-day variation. The main uncertainty here isn't a debate between two strong camps — it's simply that weather is unpredictable, and real conditions on that one day could easily land at 28°C or 30°C instead.

The odds right now

• 29°C100%
• 31°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C or higher0%
• 23°C or below0%
• 24°C0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 11, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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