Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 13, 2026, what will the highest temperature of the day be in Cape Town? July is mid-winter in Cape Town — the city is in the Southern Hemisphere, so seasons are flipped — and the market is focused on one specific weather station at Cape Town International Airport. The three leading options are 15°C, 16°C, or 17°C (roughly 59°F to 63°F), which are all typical cool winter highs for that city. The market settles on whichever temperature bracket matches the single highest reading recorded at Cape Town Airport on July 13, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground's history page for that station. The temperature is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — no decimals. The final answer is locked in once the first data point for July 14 appears on that page; any corrections published before that cutoff count, but changes after it do not. None of the recent news provided relates to Cape Town weather or South African meteorology. No relevant recent headlines were given for this market. The kind of development that would matter here is a forecast or weather pattern update for the Western Cape region in the days leading up to July 13, 2026. Weather is genuinely hard to pin down even a day in advance, let alone a year out. The market currently leans toward 17°C at 40%, but 15°C and 16°C together account for roughly 45%, so the spread is real. Cape Town winters can bring cold fronts off the Atlantic that push highs down, or brief warm spells that push them up. A single passing cloud system could shift the peak reading by a degree or two, which is exactly the width of each bracket here — making even a one-degree swing decisive.

The odds right now

• 15°C39%
• 14°C28%
• 13°C19%
• 17°C14%
• 16°C11%
• 18°C5%
• 12°C2%
• 11°C or below1%
• 19°C1%
• 20°C0%
• 21°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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