Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Chengdu get on July 13, 2026? Specifically, it's asking you to pick the peak temperature for that day — the single highest reading recorded at the airport weather station. The three main options are 37°C, 38°C, or 39°C (roughly 99°F, 100°F, and 102°F). Think of it as guessing the top of the thermometer on one specific summer afternoon in a city known for intense heat and humidity. After July 13, 2026 ends, the market looks up the official daily high temperature recorded at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on the Weather Underground website. Whatever whole-degree Celsius number appears there as the day's peak determines which option wins. One important detail: the reading can still be revised during the day, but once the first data point for July 14 appears, whatever the record shows at that moment is final — no later corrections count. No relevant news was provided for this market. That's normal for a weather question this far in advance — what would matter closer to the date is local forecasts, regional heat wave warnings for Sichuan province, or any unusual climate patterns affecting central China in early-to-mid July 2026. Weather is genuinely hard to predict even a few days out, let alone a year ahead. The market is essentially using historical patterns: mid-July in Chengdu typically brings highs in the 35–40°C range, which is why 37°C and 38°C lead the odds. But a single day's peak depends on whether a storm cools things off, whether a heat dome settles in, or even cloud cover that afternoon. One degree separates the top two options — a tiny margin that real-world conditions can swing easily.

The odds right now

• 38°C57%
• 37°C35%
• 39°C7%
• 40°C or higher1%
• 30°C or below0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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