Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 12?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 12, 2026, what will the highest air temperature of the day be in Chengdu? There are three options — 28°C, 29°C, or 30°C — and whichever single degree matches the actual peak temperature that day wins. Think of it like guessing the hottest point on a summer afternoon thermometer, rounded to the nearest whole degree. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Chengdu's Shuangliu International Airport weather station on June 12, 2026, as logged by Weather Underground. The reading is in whole degrees Celsius — no decimals. Whichever option (28°C, 29°C, or 30°C) matches that number wins. The market can only close after the first data point from June 13 appears on the source, locking in June 12's final peak reading. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of updates that would matter here are long-range weather forecasts for Chengdu in mid-June 2026, or climate pattern news — such as an unusually strong heat event or a cooler-than-normal early summer forecast for the Sichuan basin. Weather is genuinely hard to forecast even a week out, let alone over a year away. The market currently spreads probability fairly evenly across 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C, which reflects real uncertainty. Early June in Chengdu can bring warm, humid days, but temperatures vary with cloud cover, rain, and regional weather systems that no one can predict this far ahead. The three options are tightly bunched — just a two-degree range total — so a small shift in conditions changes everything.

The odds right now

• 29°C100%
• 30°C0%
• 24°C or below0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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