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Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?

99%Updated 12 min ago

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 14, 2026, how hot will Chengdu get? Specifically, it wants to know which temperature bucket — 32°C, 33°C, 34°C, or something else — will match the single highest temperature reading recorded that day at Chengdu's main airport weather station. Think of it like a contest to guess the peak of the thermometer on one specific afternoon in a major Chinese city in early summer. The market settles based on the highest temperature logged at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on June 14, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whichever temperature bucket contains that peak reading wins. The data must be in whole degrees Celsius — no decimals. The result is locked in once the first reading from June 15 appears on the site; any corrections published before that cutoff count, but corrections after do not. There is a news mention dated June 14, 2026, from Richland Source, but no weather-relevant details from it were provided here. Without more content, there is nothing specific to report. The kind of news that would matter here is a regional weather forecast or heat advisory for Chengdu around that date — that would be the clearest signal to watch. Weather on a single day is genuinely hard to pin down, even close to the date. The three leading buckets — 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C — are clustered fairly tightly in probability, which reflects real forecasting uncertainty. Early June in Chengdu is warm and sometimes humid, but daily highs can swing several degrees depending on cloud cover, rain, or regional wind patterns. A passing storm could keep temperatures low; a clear, sunny day could push them higher. Small differences matter a lot here because each degree is its own bucket.

The odds right now

  • 33°C99%
  • 34°C1%
  • 35°C0%
  • 36°C0%
  • 31°C or below0%
  • 32°C0%
  • 37°C0%
  • 38°C0%
  • 39°C0%
  • 40°C0%
  • 41°C or higher0%

Price history

33°C

99%+74.4%

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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