Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Chengdu get on June 16, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at the city's main airport weather station. The options are buckets — 27°C or below, 28°C, 29°C, and presumably higher ranges too. For context, 27°C is a warm but comfortable summer day (about 81°F), while 29°C and above starts to feel quite hot and humid, which is typical for Chengdu in mid-June. The market settles based on the peak temperature logged at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on June 16, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website. Whatever single highest whole-degree Celsius reading appears there that day determines which bucket wins. The market won't close until the first data point from June 17 appears on that site — meaning late-arriving corrections to June 16's data still count, but only up to that moment. After that cutoff, the number is locked in. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. For a weather question like this, what would matter most is closer-range forecasts as June 16, 2026 approaches, or any climate pattern data suggesting an unusually hot or cool early summer in Chengdu's Sichuan Basin region. Those signals won't exist in meaningful form until a week or two before the date. Weather this far out — over a year away — is genuinely impossible to forecast with precision. The market currently leans toward 27°C or below at 48%, but that reflects historical averages and seasonal patterns, not any actual forecast. Chengdu in mid-June can range from mild to sweltering depending on regional pressure systems, rainfall, and humidity. A single cloudy day versus a sunny one can shift the peak by several degrees. The honest answer is: no one knows yet, and even good meteorologists won't know until a few days before.

The odds right now

• 27°C or below61%
• 28°C26%
• 29°C4%
• 30°C2%
• 31°C1%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 16, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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