Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how hot will Chongqing get on July 13, 2026? Specifically, it's asking you to pick which temperature bucket — 37°C, 38°C, or 39°C — will match the single highest reading of the day at the city's Jiangbei Airport weather station. In everyday terms, 38°C is about 100°F — a genuinely scorching summer day. The market is currently leaning toward 38°C as the most likely peak, with 37°C as the second guess and 39°C as the outside chance. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on July 13, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. The number used will be a whole-degree Celsius reading — no decimals. Whichever bucket (37°C, 38°C, or 39°C) that peak temperature falls into wins. One important detail: the market waits until the first data point from July 14 appears on the site before finalizing, to make sure the full day's readings are in. The two news items provided are about education policy in India and have no connection to Chongqing weather. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter is closer-range weather forecasts for Chongqing in mid-July 2026, or reports of unusual heat patterns in central China as the date approaches. Weather is genuinely hard to pin to a single degree on a specific future day. Chongqing is one of China's hottest summer cities, so the 37–39°C range is historically reasonable for mid-July — but the exact peak can shift based on cloud cover, wind, or a passing weather system that nobody can predict a year out. The three buckets are close together, meaning a difference of just one degree changes the outcome entirely. The market prices 38°C as most likely, but the spread across all three options reflects real uncertainty.

The odds right now

• 38°C75%
• 39°C17%
• 40°C1%
• 32°C or below0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C0%
• 41°C0%
• 42°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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