Highest temperature in Dallas on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 13, 2026, how hot will Dallas get at its peak? Specifically, it asks which 2-degree temperature band the day's single highest temperature will fall into — for example, whether the thermometer tops out somewhere between 86°F and 87°F, or climbs into the 88–89°F range, or stays cooler in the 84–85°F band. Think of it as a weather guessing game with a very specific answer determined by one weather station. The market settles using the highest temperature recorded at Dallas Love Field Station on July 13, 2026, pulled from Weather Underground's historical data page for that station. Whatever the peak reading is that day — rounded to a whole degree Fahrenheit — determines which band wins. The data is locked in once the first reading of July 14 appears on that page; any station corrections made after that cutoff are ignored. There are no tie options — whichever band contains that single peak number wins. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. Since the event is over a year away, what would eventually matter is the short-range weather forecast for Dallas in mid-July 2026 — specifically whether any heat dome, storm system, or unusual pressure pattern is affecting Texas around that date. That kind of information only becomes meaningful in the days leading up to July 13. July in Dallas is reliably hot, which is why the market clusters around the mid-to-upper 80s — but the exact peak on any single day is genuinely hard to pin down even days in advance, let alone a year out. A passing cloud, a brief storm, or a shift in wind direction can move the daily high by several degrees. The spread across three bands (84–85, 86–87, 88–89°F) reflects real uncertainty: the market's top choice at 36% still leaves a 64% chance it lands somewhere else.

The odds right now

• 86-87°F32%
• 84-85°F25%
• 88-89°F22%
• 82-83°F15%
• 90-91°F10%
• 80-81°F4%
• 92-93°F1%
• 94-95°F0%
• 96°F or higher0%
• 77°F or below0%
• 78-79°F0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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