Highest temperature in Dallas on July 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Dallas get on July 14, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature of the day — the peak reading — measured at Dallas Love Field airport. A Yes on any given range (say, 88–89°F) means the hottest point of that day lands within those two degrees. Mid-July in Dallas is deep summer, so the question is really about whether it's a typical scorcher, an extreme heat day, or slightly cooler than average. The market settles on whichever temperature range contains the official peak reading from the Dallas Love Field weather station on July 14, 2026, pulled from Weather Underground's historical data page for that station. The temperature is recorded in whole degrees Fahrenheit — no decimals. The result is locked in once the first data point for July 15 appears on that page. Any corrections made before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. The two news items provided are about Malaysian politics and have no connection to Dallas weather or this market. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of update that would actually matter is a seasonal forecast for the Dallas–Fort Worth area in mid-July 2026, or any emerging pattern suggesting an unusual heat event or cooling front around that date. July in Dallas is reliably hot, but "reliably hot" still spans a real range — highs can vary by 10°F or more depending on whether a storm system pushes through or a heat dome settles in. The market's spread reflects that: 88–89°F leads at 34%, but 86–87°F and 90–91°F together account for nearly as much. With over a year until the date, long-range forecasts don't yet exist for this specific day, so current odds are based on historical patterns alone, not actual weather data.

The odds right now

• 88-89°F35%
• 90-91°F22%
• 86-87°F18%
• 84-85°F11%
• 92-93°F8%
• 82-83°F2%
• 94°F or higher2%
• 80-81°F0%
• 75°F or below0%
• 76-77°F0%
• 78-79°F0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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