Highest temperature in Dallas on July 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 15, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Dallas, Texas? The answer gets sorted into one of several two-degree ranges — the current leading options are 88–89°F, 86–87°F, and 90–91°F. Think of it as a temperature bracket for a single summer afternoon in one of America's hottest major cities. Whichever bracket contains the actual peak temperature that day wins. At the end of July 15, 2026, someone checks the Weather Underground website for the Dallas Love Field weather station and reads the single highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to a whole number in Fahrenheit. Whichever two-degree range that number falls into is the winner. The market waits until the first data point for July 16 appears on that site before settling — meaning it holds open just long enough to confirm the full day's readings are in. The two news items provided are about Malaysian politics and have no connection to Dallas weather. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter to watch closer to the date: any extended heat forecasts for North Texas in mid-July, or unusual weather patterns like a heat dome forming over the southern plains. Mid-July in Dallas is reliably hot, which is why the market clusters tightly around 88–91°F rather than spreading widely. The main uncertainty is that daily peak temperatures still vary by several degrees depending on cloud cover, wind, humidity, and passing weather systems — none of which are predictable a year out. The three leading ranges together cover only six degrees, so a slightly cooler or hotter day than average would push the answer outside all of them entirely.

The odds right now

• 88-89°F41%
• 86-87°F21%
• 90-91°F17%
• 84-85°F8%
• 92-93°F4%
• 82-83°F3%
• 94-95°F3%
• 96-97°F1%
• 81°F or below0%
• 98-99°F0%
• 100°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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