Highest temperature in Denver on July 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Denver get on July 15, 2026? Specifically, it's asking which two-degree temperature band the day's peak heat will fall into — whether the hottest moment of that day lands between 90–91°F, 92–93°F, or 94–95°F. Think of it as a group bet on what the thermometer's highest reading will be that day. Mid-July in Denver is reliably hot, so the question is really about the degree of heat, not whether it will be warm. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Buckley Space Force Base Station — a weather station in Aurora, just east of Denver — on July 15, 2026. The data comes from Weather Underground's historical log for that station. Temperatures are rounded to whole degrees Fahrenheit. Whichever two-degree range contains that peak reading wins. One detail worth knowing: the market waits until the first data point from July 16 is published before it officially closes, to make sure the full day's readings are captured. There's no specific recent news available for this market. That's normal — it's over a year away. What would actually matter to watch closer to the date: local weather forecasts for Denver in mid-July 2026, any unusual heat dome patterns over the Rocky Mountain region, and the official Weather Underground reading at Buckley as the day approaches. Weather a year out is genuinely hard to pin down — even professional forecasters can't reliably predict a single day's high temperature more than about two weeks in advance. The three ranges on offer span only six degrees total, so a small forecast error changes everything. Denver's July temperatures can swing based on monsoon moisture drifting up from the south, cloud cover, or wind patterns that are impossible to know today. The market currently leans toward 92–93°F, but the honest answer is that the specific number is nearly unknowable this far out.

The odds right now

• 92-93°F46%
• 94-95°F33%
• 90-91°F14%
• 96-97°F3%
• 88-89°F1%
• 98-99°F1%
• 84-85°F0%
• 86-87°F0%
• 100-101°F0%
• 83°F or below0%
• 102°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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