Highest temperature in Denver on July 19?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is a temperature guessing game: it asks what the hottest reading of the day will be at a specific weather station near Denver on July 19, 2026. A 'Yes' for any range means the peak temperature that day lands inside those two numbers — for example, '96-97°F' wins if the thermometer tops out at 96 or 97 degrees. The station used is Buckley Space Force Base in Aurora, Colorado, just east of Denver, which may read slightly differently than downtown Denver. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Buckley Space Force Base (station code KBKF) on July 19, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground — rounded to the nearest whole degree Fahrenheit. Whichever temperature range contains that number wins. The market won't officially close until the first data point from July 20 appears, giving a small window for any last-minute corrections to July 19's readings to be counted. None of the provided news headlines relate to Denver weather, July temperatures, or anything connected to this market. The kind of update that would matter here would be a short-range weather forecast for the Denver area in the days leading up to July 19, 2026 — something like an approaching heat dome or an unusual cold front. Weather forecasting more than a day or two out is genuinely difficult, and this market resolves over a year from now, so current odds reflect historical climate patterns rather than an actual forecast. The market is split almost evenly between 96-97°F and 98-99°F — suggesting real uncertainty within a fairly narrow band. Denver summers are hot but also prone to afternoon thunderstorms that can sharply lower peak temperatures. A single storm, or its absence, could shift the outcome by several degrees.

The odds right now

• 98-99°F43%
• 96-97°F39%
• 100-101°F9%
• 94-95°F8%
• 92-93°F1%
• 102-103°F1%
• 87°F or below0%
• 88-89°F0%
• 90-91°F0%
• 104-105°F0%
• 106°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 19, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.