Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 13, 2026, how hot will it get in Guangzhou, China? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of the day at the city's Baiyun International Airport weather station — and whether that peak will land at 37°C (about 99°F), 38°C (about 100°F), or 39°C and above (about 102°F or hotter). July is deep summer in Guangzhou, a subtropical city known for intense heat and humidity, so all three options are within a plausible range. Settlement is determined by the highest temperature reading recorded on July 13, 2026, at Guangzhou Baiyun Airport, as logged on the weather tracking website Wunderground. The number is read in whole degrees Celsius — no decimals. Whichever bracket that peak temperature falls into wins. One important detail: the market can only settle after the first data point for July 14 appears on Wunderground, meaning the full day's readings need to be in before anything is confirmed. Late corrections to the data are only counted if they appear before that July 14 cutoff. No recent news relevant to Guangzhou's weather on July 13, 2026 was provided. Since the date is still in the future, there are no forecasts or weather reports to cite yet. What would matter to watch for, as the date approaches, are extended weather forecasts for Guangzhou, any regional heat wave warnings from Chinese meteorological services, or unusually strong or weak monsoon activity affecting southern China. Weather forecasting more than a few days out is genuinely difficult, and a single degree of difference is a very narrow target. The market currently prices 37°C as the most likely outcome at 58%, with 38°C close behind at 37% — so the two leading options are not far apart. Guangzhou in mid-July regularly sees peaks anywhere in this range, and local conditions like cloud cover, humidity, or a brief weather system passing through can easily shift the day's high by one degree. That one-degree margin is precisely what makes this hard to call.

The odds right now

• 38°C100%
• 29°C or below0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C0%
• 39°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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