Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 14, 2026, what will the hottest reading of the day be at one specific weather station in Guangzhou, China — the one located at Baiyun International Airport? The three options represent temperature bands, with 32°C being roughly 90°F, 31°C about 88°F, and 30°C about 86°F. Whoever picks the band that contains the actual peak temperature that day wins. It's essentially a weather forecast turned into a question with multiple-choice answers. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun Airport weather station on July 14, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website. The reading is rounded to a whole number in Celsius — no decimals. One important detail: the market can't officially close until the first data point for July 15 appears on that site, so there's a brief window where the July 14 reading could still be revised. Once July 15 data is published, whatever the peak reading says at that moment is final. No recent news was provided that relates to this market. For a question like this, what would actually matter is closer-in seasonal weather data or climate pattern forecasts for southern China in mid-July — but those are only meaningful when July 2026 approaches. Right now, the odds are essentially based on historical patterns for this time of year in Guangzhou. July in Guangzhou is reliably hot and humid, so the general range isn't a surprise — but pinning down a single day's exact peak, more than a year away, is genuinely difficult. A passing rain system can cap temperatures several degrees lower than a clear, sunny day. The difference between 31°C and 33°C on any given July day can come down to cloud cover or a brief afternoon storm. No forecast is reliable that far out, so the odds here are really just historical averages, not actual predictions of what July 14 specifically will bring.

The odds right now

• 34°C or higher55%
• 33°C31%
• 32°C9%
• 24°C or below0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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