Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 10?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the highest temperature be in Guangzhou on June 10, 2026? Specifically, it tracks the peak temperature recorded that day at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station. The available answers are ranges — 27°C or below, 28°C, or 29°C — and whichever bucket contains the actual high temperature that day is the one that 'wins.' Think of it as a weather forecast frozen into a single number at the end of the day. It resolves the moment the first weather data for June 11, 2026 appears on Weather Underground's historical page for the Guangzhou Baiyun Airport station — that locks in the final recorded high for June 10. The temperature is rounded to a whole degree Celsius, so 28.7°C would count as 28°C, not 29°C. Any corrections to the June 10 data are accepted right up until that first June 11 data point appears, after which the number is final, even if later revised. The only recent news provided is about a Bollywood actress receiving an award, which has no connection to Guangzhou weather. There is no relevant recent news to report here. The kind of development that would matter is a seasonal weather forecast or a notable heat event in southern China around that date — something to watch for closer to June 2026. The main challenge is simply that no weather forecast is reliable a year in advance. June in Guangzhou is early summer — historically warm and humid, with highs commonly in the 29–34°C range — so the market's current full weight on 29°C likely reflects historical averages, not a specific forecast. The real uncertainty is that actual conditions on any single day can vary from the norm due to cloud cover, rain, or unusual pressure systems. A year out, there is no data yet that can meaningfully narrow this down.

The odds right now

• 29°C100%
• 27°C or below0%
• 28°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 10, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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