Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 13, 2026, what will be the hottest point of the day in Helsinki — will it peak at 23°C, 24°C, or 25°C? Think of it like guessing the afternoon high on a summer day in Finland, where mid-July temperatures typically sit in a mild, comfortable range. A 'Yes' for 24°C means the thermometer tops out somewhere in that band — not 23, not 25 — before midnight on that specific day. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading logged at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport on July 13, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website for that station. Temperatures are rounded to whole degrees Celsius — so 23.7°C would count as 23°C, not 24°C. The result is locked in once the first data point from July 14 appears on that site. Any corrections published before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The only headline supplied appears to be about an unrelated education policy story. What would actually matter here is any extended weather forecast for southern Finland in mid-July 2026 — but that kind of reliable forecast won't exist until a few days before the date itself. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a week or so out, and this market closes over a year from now. The three outcomes are tightly clustered — 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C are just one degree apart — so even a small shift in wind direction or cloud cover on the day could move the result. Helsinki's July highs vary meaningfully year to year. The market currently leans toward 24°C, but the gap between that and 23°C is narrow enough that either is very plausible.

The odds right now

• 23°C47%
• 24°C33%
• 25°C13%
• 22°C7%
• 21°C3%
• 26°C or higher1%
• 20°C0%
• 16°C or below0%
• 17°C0%
• 18°C0%
• 19°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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