Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 15, 2026, how hot will it get in Helsinki? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at Helsinki's main airport — and whether that peak will land at 25°C, 26°C, or 27°C. Think of it like guessing the afternoon high on a summer day in Finland: not the average, just the warmest moment of the whole day. The market settles based on the highest temperature reading recorded at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport on July 15, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground's historical data page for that station. The reading is rounded to a whole number in Celsius — no decimals. The result is locked in once the first data point for July 16 appears on that page, after which no corrections are accepted. Whichever temperature bracket (25°C, 26°C, 27°C, or another) contains that peak reading wins. The two news items provided are unrelated to this market — one covers a student loan policy in Malaysia, the other an education scheme in India. There is no relevant recent news to draw on here. What would actually matter to watch is extended weather forecasts for Helsinki as July 15 approaches, or any notable heat or cold patterns affecting northern Europe in mid-July. Weather on a specific single day more than a year away is genuinely hard to call. July in Helsinki typically sees highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C, which is why those brackets lead the odds — but any given day can run warmer or cooler depending on wind direction, cloud cover, and passing weather systems. The market is fairly spread across three adjacent degrees, reflecting that real uncertainty. Even a reliable forecast only becomes useful within about 10 days of the date itself.

The odds right now

• 26°C39%
• 27°C27%
• 25°C23%
• 24°C6%
• 28°C4%
• 23°C1%
• 29°C1%
• 30°C1%
• 22°C0%
• 21°C or below0%
• 31°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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