Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 10?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Hong Kong get on June 10, 2026 — specifically, what will the single highest temperature of that day be? The three main options are 27°C, 28°C, or 29°C (each representing a one-degree range). In everyday terms, 28°C feels like a warm, humid summer day — about 82°F. The market is essentially a weather forecast frozen into a question, where people weigh in on which temperature band the thermometer will peak at. The market settles based on the official 'Absolute Daily Maximum' temperature logged by the Hong Kong Observatory for June 10, 2026 — that is, the single highest reading recorded that day at their main station, measured to one decimal place. Whichever degree-Celsius range that number falls into wins. The data comes from the Observatory's published Daily Extract. One important detail: once the first published figure is used to settle the market, any later corrections to that number do not count. The two news items provided — about UK and Australian universities opening campuses in India — have no connection to Hong Kong weather. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would matter is any seasonal weather outlook for Hong Kong in early June, or updates from the Hong Kong Observatory about unusual heat or typhoon activity approaching that date. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and June 10, 2026 is still a year away. Early June in Hong Kong sits in the rainy, humid pre-typhoon season, so daily highs can swing several degrees depending on cloud cover, rain, and wind direction. The three leading options — 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C — are closely bunched, meaning a small shift in conditions could easily move the outcome from one bucket to another. Long-range forecasting at this precision is more climatology than prediction.

The odds right now

• 28°C100%
• 29°C0%
• 24°C or below0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 10, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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