Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will be the hottest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on June 13, 2026? You pick a temperature bracket — 29°C, 30°C, or 31°C — and if the official daily high lands in that range, that bracket wins. Think of it as guessing which notch on a thermometer Hong Kong hits at its warmest point during that one day. Mid-June in Hong Kong is deep into summer, so temperatures in the 29–32°C range are typical for the season. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading published by the Hong Kong Observatory for June 13, 2026 — specifically the 'Absolute Daily Max' figure in their official Daily Extract, measured to one decimal place (for example, 30.4°C). Whichever bracket contains that number wins. One important detail: if the Observatory later corrects or revises that number after first publishing it, the revision does not count — only the first published figure is used. None of the provided news is relevant to this market. The headlines are about Hong Kong's finance industry, not weather. To track this question, what would actually matter is weather forecasts for Hong Kong around June 13 — things like typhoon activity, monsoon patterns, or unusual heat or cloud cover predicted for that specific day. Weather on a single specific day is genuinely hard to pin down even days in advance, let alone a year out. The three leading brackets — 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C — are priced fairly close together (22%, 33%, 32%), which reflects that reality. Mid-June in Hong Kong can bring hot sunny days, but also cloud cover, rain, or tropical systems that keep temperatures lower. A single weather system passing through on that exact date could shift the outcome by several degrees in either direction.

The odds right now

• 30°C38%
• 31°C37%
• 29°C14%
• 32°C8%
• 28°C7%
• 27°C1%
• 33°C1%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C or higher0%
• 26°C0%
• 25°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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