Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple factual question: how hot will Jeddah get on July 14, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at Jeddah's main airport. The three options are buckets: the peak hits 36°C exactly, exactly 37°C, or 38°C and above. To put that in physical terms, 38°C is about 100°F — a scorching summer day even by Jeddah's standards, which are already among the hottest in the world. After July 14, 2026 ends, whoever runs this market will check the Weather Underground website for the King Abdulaziz International Airport station and read off the single highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whichever bucket that number falls into wins. One edge case worth knowing: the market waits until the first data point from July 15 appears before it settles, so very late temperature revisions from July 14 could still count — but once July 15 data is published, any further changes to July 14's readings are ignored. The two news items provided are about Malaysian politics and have no connection to Jeddah's weather. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development that would actually matter is a regional weather forecast for the Arabian Peninsula in mid-July 2026, or reports of an unusual heat event or cooling pattern in the weeks leading up to that date. July in Jeddah is reliably hot, so the range of possible outcomes is already narrow — the market isn't wondering whether it will be mild. The real question is whether the peak lands at 37°C or climbs to 38°C or above, and that comes down to day-to-day atmospheric variation that is genuinely hard to forecast more than a few days out. Sea breezes off the Red Sea can keep Jeddah slightly cooler than inland Saudi cities, but humidity and wind direction shift unpredictably. The market currently leans toward 38°C or higher, but the gap between the top two options is not enormous.

The odds right now

• 37°C44%
• 38°C or higher41%
• 36°C16%
• 28°C or below0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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