Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 15?

What you need to know

This market asks: how hot will Jeddah get on July 15, 2026? Specifically, will the single highest temperature of that day hit 38°C or above, land exactly at 37°C, or come in at 36°C? Jeddah is one of the hottest cities on Earth, sitting on the Red Sea coast of Saudi Arabia, and mid-July is deep in its peak summer heat. The market is simply asking people to estimate which temperature band that day's peak will fall into. The market settles based on the highest temperature recorded on July 15, 2026, at the King Abdulaziz International Airport weather station in Jeddah, as shown on the Weather Underground website. The reading is rounded to a whole degree Celsius — no decimals. The market waits until the first data point from July 16 appears on that site before closing, so any corrections made before that cutoff count. After that, the number is locked in. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of update that would matter here is a seasonal forecast for the Arabian Peninsula in summer 2026, or any unusual climate pattern — like a heat dome or a shift in Red Sea humidity — expected around that date. Without that, the main reference point is Jeddah's historical temperature record for mid-July. July in Jeddah is reliably hot, but the difference between 37°C and 38°C on a single specific day is genuinely hard to call. The market is spread fairly evenly across the three options, which reflects that uncertainty honestly. Day-to-day variation in peak temperature depends on humidity, cloud cover, and sea breezes — all of which can shift a reading by a degree or two. A whole year out, no weather model can reliably pin down one afternoon's high temperature to that level of precision.

The odds right now

• 38°C or higher44%
• 37°C28%
• 36°C18%
• 35°C9%
• 34°C1%
• 33°C0%
• 28°C or below0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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