Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 16?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Jeddah get on a single specific day — July 16, 2026? The three possible outcomes are a peak of 38°C or above (about 100°F or hotter), exactly 37°C (around 99°F), or exactly 36°C (around 97°F). The market is essentially a temperature forecast expressed as odds, where people weigh in on which heat range the day's highest reading will fall into. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at King Abdulaziz International Airport in Jeddah on July 16, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground's history page for that station. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whichever temperature range contains that number wins. One important detail: the market waits until the first data point from July 17 appears before it officially closes, so any last-minute corrections to the July 16 data can still count. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. For a temperature forecast this far out, the most useful things to watch closer to the date would be long-range weather outlooks for the Arabian Peninsula and any unusual heat patterns forming over the Red Sea region in mid-July 2026. July in Jeddah is reliably hot, so this isn't a question of whether it will be warm — it will be. The real uncertainty is whether the peak lands at 36, 37, or 38-plus degrees, a range of just a few degrees that is genuinely hard to nail down a year in advance. The market splits the odds fairly broadly across all three options, reflecting that daily highs vary even within the same week. Single-station airport readings can also differ slightly from city-wide conditions.

The odds right now

• 38°C or higher42%
• 37°C31%
• 36°C17%
• 35°C6%
• 34°C2%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 28°C or below0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 16, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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