Highest temperature in Karachi on July 14?

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how hot will Karachi get on July 14, 2026? Specifically, will the day's peak temperature hit 34°C or stay at 33°C or below? Think of it as a weather forecast turned into a question — the two options represent a meaningful but narrow difference, roughly the gap between a very hot day and an extremely hot day in a city that regularly bakes in July. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at Masroor Airbase Station in Karachi on July 14, 2026, pulled from the Weather Underground website. Whatever whole-number Celsius peak appears there that day determines the winner. The data is locked in once the first reading from July 15 appears — any corrections made after that point are ignored. The station measures only in whole degrees, so no rounding disputes. The two news headlines provided are about Malaysian politics and have no connection to Karachi's weather or temperature. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would matter to watch is any seasonal weather forecast for Karachi in mid-July, or reports of unusual monsoon activity or heat waves affecting Pakistan's southern coast around that time. July is deep in Karachi's hot season, and the market heavily favors 33°C at 80%, suggesting most participants expect a typical summer day rather than an extreme spike. The main uncertainty is simply whether something unusual pushes the peak into 34°C territory — a brief dry spell, a stalled weather system, or a day with less sea breeze than normal. One degree is a genuinely small margin, and single-station readings can vary with local conditions.

The odds right now

• 33°C95%
• 34°C6%
• 35°C1%
• 27°C or below0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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