Highest temperature in Karachi on July 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 15, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Karachi — specifically at the Masroor Airbase weather station? Three temperature ranges are on offer: 32°C, 33°C, or 34°C. Whichever one matches the official peak reading that day wins. Think of it like guessing the high on a weather forecast, but for one specific day about a year from now, measured at one specific station. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Masroor Airbase on July 15, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website. The reading is rounded to a whole number — so 33.7°C would count as 33°C, not 34°C. The result is locked in once the first data point for July 16 appears on that page. Any corrections made before that cutoff count; corrections made after do not. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of developments that would matter here are seasonal climate outlooks for Karachi in summer 2026, or any unusual patterns in the Arabian Sea that influence coastal temperatures — but nothing specific is available right now. Weather a year in advance is genuinely difficult to predict with precision. The market currently leans toward 33°C at 45%, but 32°C and 34°C together account for more than half the probability — meaning there is real spread across all three outcomes. July in Karachi is typically hot and humid, but daily peak temperatures can shift several degrees based on sea breeze, cloud cover, or regional weather systems that no one can reliably forecast this far out.

The odds right now

• 33°C44%
• 32°C33%
• 34°C22%
• 35°C1%
• 36°C0%
• 27°C or below0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 37°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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