Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 15, 2026, what will the hottest moment of the day feel like at Kuala Lumpur's main airport? Specifically, it's asking you to pick which temperature — 32°C, 33°C, or 34°C — will be the single highest reading recorded that day. To put it in physical terms: 33°C is a hot, humid afternoon where you break a sweat walking outside; 34°C is a degree hotter, the kind of heat that makes shade feel urgent. The market currently leans toward 33°C being the most likely outcome. The market settles based on one specific number: the peak temperature logged at Kuala Lumpur International Airport on July 15, 2026, pulled from the Weather Underground historical record for that station. Whatever the single highest whole-degree Celsius reading is that day, whichever bracket it falls into wins. The key edge case: the market waits until the first data point from July 16 appears before resolving, so any temperature revisions made before that cutoff count — but corrections made after do not. No recent news was provided that is relevant to this market. The only headline available is about a Malaysian student loan policy discussion, which has no bearing on the weather. To track this market meaningfully, the thing to watch would be short-range weather forecasts for the Kuala Lumpur area as July 15 approaches — particularly any forecast of unusually strong heat or cloud cover that day. Kuala Lumpur sits near the equator and is consistently hot, but daily peak temperatures can shift a full degree or two based on cloud cover, rain timing, and humidity — none of which is predictable more than a few days out. July 15, 2026 is still well in the future, so even sophisticated weather models can't reliably call a single-degree difference this far ahead. The three options are spread across just a 3°C range, which means a small forecast error separates all three outcomes. That's genuine uncertainty baked into the question itself.

The odds right now

• 33°C43%
• 34°C31%
• 32°C23%
• 31°C4%
• 35°C1%
• 30°C1%
• 36°C or higher1%
• 26°C or below0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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