Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 19?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 19, 2026, what will the hottest moment of the day be at Kuala Lumpur's main airport, measured in whole degrees Celsius? The three options on the table are 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C — roughly the difference between a very hot day and an extremely hot day in a tropical city. Kuala Lumpur sits near the equator and is hot year-round, so this is essentially a fine-grained question about exactly how hot one specific day gets. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at Kuala Lumpur International Airport on July 19, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website for that station. Temperatures are rounded to whole degrees — so 32.7°C would count as 32°C, not 33°C. The final reading is locked in once the first data point for July 20 appears on that site. Any corrections published before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The one headline listed is about an education policy in India and has no connection to Kuala Lumpur's weather. What would actually matter here is any forecast for July 19, 2026 as the date approaches, or reports of unusual heat or monsoon activity affecting Malaysia around that time. Kuala Lumpur's daily highs cluster in a fairly narrow range, but the exact degree on any one day is genuinely hard to pin down a year in advance. Afternoon thunderstorms — common in this region — can cap temperatures by pulling cloud cover in, while dry spells push them higher. The market spreads the odds across three degrees, with 33°C slightly favored, reflecting real uncertainty rather than a clear signal. A single weather system on that day could shift the outcome by a degree in either direction.

The odds right now

• 33°C41%
• 32°C26%
• 31°C15%
• 34°C6%
• 35°C0%
• 26°C or below0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 36°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 19, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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