Highest temperature in London on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the highest temperature in London be on June 13, 2026 — specifically at London City Airport? The three options are 21°C, 22°C, or 23°C (roughly 70°F, 72°F, and 73°F). You're not betting on a range — you're picking the single exact whole-number peak temperature recorded that day. A difference of just one degree separates each option, so this is quite precise. After June 13, 2026 ends, whoever runs this market checks the Weather Underground website for the London City Airport station (EGLC) and reads off the highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whatever that number is, that option wins. One small detail: the final reading is locked in once the first data point for June 14 appears — any corrections made before that cutoff count, but not after. There's no relevant recent news available for this market. Since the date is still roughly a year away, the kind of development that would actually matter is a reliable extended weather forecast for London in mid-June 2026 — and those simply don't exist at this range. Short-range forecasts (within about 10 days of the date) would be the most useful thing to watch for as June 2026 approaches. Weather forecasting a year in advance is genuinely not possible with precision — no model can reliably predict a single day's peak temperature that far out. The three options are clustered within just two degrees of each other, which makes this especially hard: even a week before the date, forecasters can be off by that margin. The market's current spread (38% / 26% / 25%) reflects real uncertainty across all three options, not a clear frontrunner.

The odds right now

• 22°C41%
• 21°C23%
• 23°C23%
• 20°C12%
• 24°C5%
• 19°C or below1%
• 25°C1%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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