Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 19?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Los Angeles get on July 19, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of that day at the LAX weather station — and which temperature range that peak falls into. The ranges are narrow, just two degrees wide each, so this is really asking whether it's a mild summer day in the mid-70s, a slightly warmer one in the upper 70s, or pushing into the low 80s. The market settles based on the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles International Airport on July 19, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground's historical data page for that station. Whatever the peak reading is that day — measured in whole-degree Fahrenheit — determines which range wins. The market can't officially close until at least one temperature reading from July 20 appears on that page, locking in the final number for the 19th. No recent news was provided that relates to Los Angeles weather or temperature forecasts for July 19. What would actually matter here is an official weather forecast for that specific date, or any meteorological reports about unusual heat or cool marine layer conditions affecting the LA basin in mid-July 2026. LAX sits right on the coast, where a marine layer — cool ocean air that rolls in from the Pacific — can keep temperatures noticeably lower than the rest of the city, sometimes by 10 or more degrees. That coastal effect makes the airport station one of LA's cooler spots, which explains why the market is centered in the mid-to-upper 70s rather than the 90s you might expect in summer. But the marine layer is unpredictable day to day, and a hot inland wind can push numbers up quickly, making even a two-degree window genuinely hard to call.

The odds right now

• 76-77°F34%
• 78-79°F31%
• 80-81°F16%
• 74-75°F11%
• 82-83°F4%
• 84-85°F2%
• 72-73°F1%
• 70-71°F1%
• 86-87°F1%
• 69°F or below0%
• 88°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 19, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.