Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Los Angeles get on June 15, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of the day at the weather station at LAX airport, and which narrow temperature band it falls into — for example, whether the peak heat reaches 72–73°F versus 70–71°F or something higher. A 'Yes' on any given range means the thermometer topped out inside those two degrees; every other range then settles as 'No.' At the end of June 15, 2026, whoever runs this market checks the Weather Underground website for the LAX airport station (KLAX) and reads the single highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Fahrenheit. Whichever 2-degree range contains that number wins. The market can only settle after the first data point from June 16 appears — meaning it waits for the day to be fully over. Any late corrections to the temperature data are only accepted until that June 16 data point appears; after that, the number is locked in. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to Los Angeles weather on June 15, 2026 — they cover unrelated international events. There is no recent weather news to draw on here. What would actually matter to watch for is any meteorological forecast issued close to June 15, such as a National Weather Service outlook for the Los Angeles coast, or reports of an unusual heat event or marine layer pattern affecting the area. The market is split mainly between 70–71°F (34%) and 72–73°F (41%), with a smaller share on 74–75°F — so the crowd sees the answer sitting in a fairly narrow band, but is genuinely unsplit on exactly where. The core difficulty is that June weather at LAX is shaped by the marine layer, a coastal fog and cool-air pattern that can suppress temperatures significantly — or lift early and let heat in. That shift of just a few degrees is hard to forecast reliably even days out, let alone a year in advance.

The odds right now

• 72-73°F41%
• 70-71°F31%
• 74-75°F14%
• 68-69°F6%
• 76-77°F2%
• 78-79°F1%
• 66-67°F1%
• 64-65°F0%
• 80°F or higher0%
• 61°F or below0%
• 62-63°F0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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