Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 14, 2026, what will the single hottest temperature reading of the day be at Lucknow's main airport? The three options are 36°C, 37°C, or 38°C — roughly 97°F, 99°F, and 100°F. Whoever picks the right bracket wins. It's basically a weather forecast question: will that afternoon peak land in the mid, lower, or upper range of a typical hot July day in Lucknow? The market settles based on the highest temperature recorded at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport on July 14, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground's history page for that station. The number used will be a whole-degree Celsius figure — no decimals. It won't settle until the first data point from July 15 appears on that page, locking in the final reading. Any corrections made before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. The two recent news items provided are about Malaysian politics and have no connection to weather in Lucknow. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter to watch is any meteorological forecast for Lucknow in mid-July 2026 — particularly whether a monsoon system or unusual heat pattern is expected around that date. Weather on a specific future date is genuinely hard to pin down, even a day or two out — let alone far in advance. July in Lucknow sits in monsoon season, when cloud cover and rain can pull temperatures down from typical pre-monsoon highs, but dry spells can push them back up. The three options span just a 3°C window, so a small shift in conditions tips the result. The market currently splits fairly evenly across 36°C and 37°C, reflecting real uncertainty about which degree the thermometer will land on.

The odds right now

• 37°C98%
• 38°C1%
• 39°C0%
• 31°C or below0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 40°C0%
• 41°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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