Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest reading of the day be in Lucknow on July 15, 2026? The three options are 34°C, 35°C, or 36°C-and-above — so you're essentially picking which temperature 'bucket' the peak daytime heat falls into. July is deep in Lucknow's monsoon season, so while the city is hot, clouds and rain can actually cap temperatures compared to the scorching pre-monsoon months of May and June. After July 15, 2026 ends, whoever runs this market checks the Weather Underground website for the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport weather station in Lucknow and reads the single highest temperature recorded that day, in whole degrees Celsius. Whatever number that shows — say, 35°C — the matching option wins. One important detail: the market waits until the first data point of July 16 appears before settling, giving the record a chance to be corrected. After that cutoff, no revisions count. The one news item provided — about governance in Johor, Malaysia — has no connection to temperatures in Lucknow. There is no relevant recent news to draw on here. What would actually matter to watch: monsoon forecasts for Uttar Pradesh in the days leading up to July 15, since active monsoon conditions tend to bring cloud cover that keeps peak temperatures lower, while a break in the monsoon could push them higher. Weather a year out is genuinely hard to pin down, even for meteorologists. July 15 falls in Lucknow's monsoon window, when daily highs can vary significantly depending on whether it rains that morning or the skies stay clear. The market is fairly spread across three options — 44% for 35°C, 30% for 36°C+, and 21% for 34°C — reflecting real uncertainty. A cloudy, rainy day could mean 34°C; a sunny monsoon break could push it past 36°C. Small shifts in weather patterns can flip outcomes entirely.

The odds right now

• 36°C or higher34%
• 35°C28%
• 34°C26%
• 33°C6%
• 32°C1%
• 31°C1%
• 30°C0%
• 26°C or below0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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