Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 19?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest reading of the day be in Lucknow on July 19, 2026? Specifically, it picks one temperature — say, 31°C — and asks whether the peak temperature that day lands in that range. July 19 falls in the middle of India's monsoon season, so the usual scorching pre-monsoon heat is partly tempered by cloud cover and rain, which is why the odds cluster around 29–31°C rather than the 40°C+ readings Lucknow sees in May. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport weather station on July 19, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. The number used will be a whole-degree Celsius figure — no decimals. Whichever temperature bracket (29°C, 30°C, 31°C, etc.) contains that peak reading wins. The final figure is locked in once the first data point for July 20 appears on the site; any corrections published after that cutoff are ignored. No recent news relevant to Lucknow's weather or this market was provided. The one headline available is unrelated. What would actually matter here is monsoon tracking — specifically, whether the monsoon is running ahead of schedule, stalling, or producing unusual cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh around July 19. Meteorological updates from India's IMD (weather service) closer to the date would be the most useful thing to watch. Weather is genuinely hard to pin down a year in advance, and July in Lucknow adds a specific twist: the monsoon makes temperatures more variable than in dry months. A heavy rain spell can drop the daily high by several degrees; a break in cloud cover can push it back up. The three leading brackets (29°C, 30°C, 31°C) are all closely priced, which honestly reflects how tight and unpredictable that range is — a single passing storm on that day could swing the outcome by 2–3 degrees.

The odds right now

• 31°C33%
• 30°C28%
• 32°C14%
• 29°C14%
• 33°C4%
• 34°C or higher0%
• 24°C or below0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 19, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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