Highest temperature in Manila on July 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 13, 2026, what will the hottest reading of the day be at Manila's main airport weather station? The outcome options are temperature ranges in Celsius — right now, the market has essentially settled on 31°C as the answer. To picture what that means in real life: 31°C is about 88°F, a hot and humid tropical day, which is fairly typical for Manila in July. The market settles based on whichever temperature range contains the single highest Celsius reading recorded at Ninoy Aquino International Airport on July 13, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground historical data page for that station. The measurement is rounded to whole degrees — no decimals. The final call is made after the first data point for July 14 appears on that page, and any corrections made before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of update that would matter here is a seasonal weather forecast for the Philippines around mid-July 2026 — for example, whether a tropical storm or unusual weather pattern is expected to suppress or raise temperatures around that date. July in Manila is consistently hot and humid, which is why the market has converged so strongly on 31°C — it reflects a well-known climate pattern. The main remaining uncertainty is whether something unusual, like a passing typhoon, heavy cloud cover, or an unexpected cold front, could push the actual high noticeably lower or higher on that specific day. Single-day readings can vary, but the market is pricing that kind of surprise as very unlikely.

The odds right now

• 31°C100%
• 26°C or below0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. The exchange's settlement fee applies everywhere and is shown before you confirm any trade. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.