Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 19?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest moment of the day be in Mexico City on July 19, 2026? Specifically, it's asking whether the peak temperature that day will hit 25°C (about 77°F), 26°C (about 79°F), 27°C (about 81°F), or something else. The reading comes from a weather station at Mexico City's main international airport, and the market settles on whichever temperature bracket matches the single highest reading recorded that day. The market settles based on one specific number: the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez Airport weather station on July 19, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. The temperature is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — so 26.7°C would count as 26°C, not 27°C. The result is locked in once the first data point for July 20 appears on that page. Any corrections made before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. None of the recent headlines provided are relevant to Mexico City's weather on July 19. There's no weather forecast or climate news to point to here. What would matter to watch is any meteorological forecast for Mexico City in the days just before July 19 — particularly whether a heat system, cloud cover, or rain is expected, since all of those directly shift the likely peak temperature. July in Mexico City sits at over 2,200 meters elevation, which makes its temperatures milder and more variable than people might expect — daily highs often land in the mid-20s, but clouds, rain, or a clear dry stretch can shift that by a few degrees. The three leading brackets (25°C, 26°C, 27°C) are all close together, and the difference between them can come down to a single afternoon cloud. A forecast exists, but weather at this precision is genuinely hard to nail down weeks or months in advance.

The odds right now

• 26°C43%
• 25°C28%
• 27°C17%
• 24°C10%
• 28°C1%
• 23°C1%
• 29°C or higher1%
• 22°C1%
• 21°C0%
• 19°C or below0%
• 20°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 19, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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