Highest temperature in Miami on July 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 15, 2026, what will the hottest reading of the day be at Miami International Airport? There are three buckets to land in — 92–93°F, 94–95°F, or 96–97°F — and whichever range contains that single peak temperature wins. Think of it as guessing where the thermometer tops out on one specific summer afternoon in Miami. After July 15, 2026 ends, the market settles using the official daily high temperature logged at Miami International Airport (station code KMIA) on Weather Underground. Whatever whole-degree Fahrenheit number appears as the day's peak determines which range wins. The market waits until the first data point from July 16 appears before locking in — so any late corrections to the July 15 reading made before that cutoff still count. No relevant news was provided for this market. That's normal for a weather question — what would actually matter to watch closer to the date is any forecast for South Florida around July 15, 2026, including whether a heat dome, tropical system, or sea-breeze pattern is expected to influence temperatures that week. Weather forecasting more than a few days out is genuinely imprecise, and we're talking about a single day over a year away. The market currently leans toward 94–95°F at 54%, which matches Miami's typical July peak range, but a passing storm could drop the high by several degrees, while a stalled heat dome could push it above 96°F. A two-degree band is a narrow target, so small shifts in conditions can easily move the outcome from one bucket to another.

The odds right now

• 94-95°F50%
• 92-93°F36%
• 96-97°F10%
• 90-91°F4%
• 88-89°F1%
• 98-99°F0%
• 100-101°F0%
• 85°F or below0%
• 86-87°F0%
• 102-103°F0%
• 104°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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