Highest temperature in Miami on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 13, 2026, how hot will it get in Miami? Specifically, it narrows down to a two-degree range — the question is whether the day's peak temperature lands in the 86–87°F band, the 88–89°F band, or the 90–91°F band. Think of it as picking which notch on the thermometer Miami hits at its hottest point that day, not an average — just the single highest reading of the whole day. On June 13, 2026, whoever runs this market will check the Miami International Airport weather station's official daily high temperature on Weather Underground (wunderground.com). Whichever two-degree range that number falls into wins. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree — no decimals. The market settles once the first temperature reading from June 14 appears on that site, locking in whatever the June 13 peak was at that moment. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. Since it covers a date more than a year away, what would actually matter closer to June 13, 2026 are seasonal weather forecasts, any unusual climate patterns affecting South Florida, and short-range meteorological forecasts in the days leading up to that date. June in Miami is reliably hot and humid, so extreme cold is off the table — but picking the exact two-degree band is genuinely tricky. The difference between 89°F and 90°F can come down to passing clouds, a sea breeze, or a brief afternoon storm. The market currently leans toward 88–89°F at 50%, with 90–91°F not far behind at 40%, reflecting real uncertainty within a narrow range. A year out, no forecast can reliably pin down a single day's peak that precisely.

The odds right now

• 90-91°F49%
• 88-89°F42%
• 92-93°F7%
• 86-87°F5%
• 94-95°F1%
• 84-85°F0%
• 96-97°F0%
• 98-99°F0%
• 100°F or higher0%
• 81°F or below0%
• 82-83°F0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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